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producing and distributing between 1 / 4 and a third of nation’s meals supply; set up extremely profitable tourism, development and retailing firms of its personal, and officers had been put in charge of many state enterprises. U.S. officials report Cuba has arrested fugitive financier Robert L. Vesco and approached U.S. about extraditing him; Vesco fled U.S. in 1973 to avoid prosecution for allegedly swindling mutual fund investors out of $224 million. Latin America more and more ignored United States commerce embargo on Cuba, choosing to develop full economic and diplomatic ties. Cuba passed new international investment legislation, which allows international buyers entry to all economic sectors, except defense, health care and education, and to fully own businesses in Cuba. House voted 294 to a hundred thirty to tighten trade embargo against Cuba; regardless of Clinton administration’s veto risk. President Clinton signed government order to ease restrictions on travel to Cuba by Cuban Americans, academics, artists and clergymen. ever, it may also foster a somewhat high degree of bipolarization and battle between the incumbent rulers and the opposition, resulting in two adversarial blocs. Two phases in a transition process of selecting political establishments should be distinguished. Pre-electoral arrangements are usually dominated by actors’ bargains and uncertain expectations. In distinction, extra steady constitutional preparations, which are usually adopted after the primary competitive election, may be based upon a firmer information of actors’ relative strength, as measured by their assist in votes, though these constitutional choices are also conditioned by some extent of uncertainty regarding the long run. I will focus right here on pre-electoral arrangements with the goal of attempting to determine some authorized necessities for a process of political democratization in Cuba to begin. Only a couple of implications for attainable further constitutional changes resulting in a brand new, stable democratic regime will be thought of below. Three fashions of institutional strategies and selections in current transitions from Communism in Eastern Europe could be summarized as follows. First, in preelectoral preparations dominated by transactions “from above” amongst fractions of the former

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