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bastard” – applies to Ben Ali and plenty of other Arab strongmen, leaving US authorities coverage in seeming disarray. Saudi Arabia has to be balanced with Iraq, and assist for a new regime in Iran. Support for Egypt needs to be balanced with close relations with South Sudan, and different North African states. The Tunisian revolution provides a number of lessons for US policymakers. First, by reminding us of the inherent frailty of alliances with dictatorships, Tunisia demonstrates the strategic imperative of a robust Israel. As the one secure democracy in the area, Israel is the US’s solely reliable ally in the Middle East. A robust, secure Israel is the only everlasting guarantor of US strategic pursuits in the Middle East. Second, as a result of continual instability of his tyrannical terror state, and his consequent utter concern of democracy, Assad views American attempts to draw him into the Western alliance as bids to overthrow his regime. The extra the likes of Obama and Clinton search to draw him in, the more satisfied he’ll turn out to be that they are in league with Israel to convey him down. The second basic reality uncovered by Ben Ali’s overthrow is that every one power is fleeting. Ben Ali’s day came last Friday. The day of his Arab despot brethren will also arrive. And when they are overthrown, their alliances shall be overthrown with them. To a big diploma, the Obama administration’s failure to grasp the chronic instability of dictatorships explains its obsession with appeasing Syrian dictator Bashar Assad. Because the US wrongly assumes that Assad’s regime is inherently stable, it misunderstands Assad’s rationale for preferring Iran and Hizbullah to the US. Tunisia’s revolution exposed two fundamental truths about relationships with dictatorships. First, they can’t outlast the regime. Since dictators represent no one however themselves, when the dictator leaves the scene, no one will really feel bound by his decisions. By arguing that Israel is the foundation reason for all Arab pathologies, Arab despots put the US on the defensive. Having to defend its assist for the hated Jews, the US feels much less comfy criticizing the dictators for their repression of their own folks. And without the Americans respiration down their backs, Arab dictators can sleep kind of easily. Since Europe would not thoughts that they trample human rights, solely the US constitutes a risk to the legitimacy of those Arab autocrats’ iron fisted repression of their people. The chief concern of Arab dictators isn’t Israel, however the prolongation of their grip on energy. From their perspective, one of many keys to sustaining their iron grip on energy is neutralizing US support for

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