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That’s the argument that the mortality rate is probably lower, because there are probably MORE cases of infection that exist but are unconfirmed for whatever reason.. Two things about that argument; One. We’ll never know. By the time we get a grip.on this virus, it is quite probable that it will have changed, and our response to it will have changed. You are comparing total deaths over two different periods of time, for COVID-19, we are talking 6 months, where the flu is an annualized rate. We don’t really know how many actually die of flu in percentages, because we don’t test for it, but the number is probably pretty accurate as we have about 100 years of data to work with. As I said, we will never know with COVID-19. At the moment, immunity to it is a nebulous quantity just as it was in 1917-18 with influenza, just as it was with measles and the people that contracted it from the Spaniards in South and Central America.. The Spaniards didn’t kill off the Incas,. Aztecs, and Mayans, measles did. This is a pointless argument. Given current data, given current knowledge and lack of knowledge of the consequences, the risk of serious consequences from contracting COVID-19 is very real, much greater than the risk taken with influenza today Comparing influenza with COVID-19 is literally comparing apples and oranges. Your point about football being “fine” with the “Spanish” flu is probably not accurate; they were “fine,” with it out of ignorance of the consequences, but like COVID-19, we’ll never really know because that was 100 years ago and it’s too late to tell if it would have made any difference, and for COVID-19, the virus is continually mutating, albeit slower than many other viruses because it has a self correcting function in it’s transcription. The key mutation that has occurred so far is a five fold increase in the number of spikes on the envelope which doesn’t seem to make the infection more severe, but it greatly enhances the efficacy of transmission. This mutation appears to have occurred in the North American mutation, there were five or six strains the last time I looked, and this strain is replacing all the others. It is quite possible that a less lethal strain will evolve and that strain will more than likely become dominant; it is in the best interest of a virus to not kill the host. That may be what has happened with influenza, although influenza has been around long enough that almost everyone has some degree of acquired immunity to it.
