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l in 2100, they will necessarily also contribute to sea level in the centuries to follow. Only for low emission scenarios, like RCP2.6, can substantial ice loss be prevented, according to ice dynamical models (Levermann et al., ; Golledge et al., ; DeConto and Pollard, ; Bulthuis et al., ). For Greenland, surface warming may lead to ablation becoming larger than accumulation, and the associated surface lowering increases ablation further . As a consequence, the ice sheet will significantly retreat. Church et al. 803 concluded that the threshold for perpetual negative mass balance based Amazing vintage hope you like cats all over print doormaton modelling studies lies between 1ºC (Robinson et al., ; low confidence) and 4ºC above pre-industrial temperatures. Pattyn et al. 805 demonstrated that with more than 2.0ºC of summer warming, it becomes more likely than not that the GIS crosses a tipping point, and the ice sheet will enter a long-term state of decline with the potential loss of most or all of the ice sheet over thousands of years. If the warming is sustained, ice loss could become irreversible due to the initiation of positive feedbacks associated with elevation-SMB feedback , and albedo-melt feedback associated with darkening of the ice surface due to the presence of liquid water, loss of snow, changes in firn and biological processes (Tedesco et al., ; Ryan et al., ). The

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