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change and surprises were inevitable. We know that climate changes – but ultimately only quantitative analysis of very long term data can show patterns of change that reveal the underlying dynamic. In the case of the Mediterranean basin – Nilometer data that shows persistent epochs that shift at irregular intervals to another persistent climate epoch. A shift in means and variance with sometimes dire consequences for civilizations. We have traditionally called these cycles. The pattern suggests an underlying dynamical complexity in a system that is sensitive to small changes. Fast forward to today and we are changing the atmosphere, the global energy content, ocean chemistry, land use and biology everywhere. This on top of natural change. The dominant dynamical Amazing viking odin tatoo all over printed shirtcomplexity paradigm says that small change can trigger large system responses. Common sense strategies to reduce vulnerability to extreme weather events, improve environmental quality, develop better energy technologies and increase access to grid electricity, improve agricultural and land use practices, and better manage water resources can pave the way for a more prosperous and secure future. Each of these solutions is ‘no regrets’ – supporting climate change mitigation while improving human well being. These strategies avoid the political gridlock surrounding the current policies

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